Tampa Bay may think it has Boston on the ropes, leading the best-of-seven American League Championship Series three games to one.

But history is hard to ignore: The last three times the Red Sox reached the World Series, they did so by overcoming deficits of 3-1, 3-0 and 3-1 in the ALCS (in 1986 against the Angels, in 2004 against the Yankees and last year against the Indians, respectively).

Seeing it happen again this year wouldn't surprise me in the least.