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By Jeremy Schiffres, Daily and Sunday Freeman, Kingston, N.Y.

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Getting ahead of thesmelves

I read today that weather experts -- specifically the folks at the government-run National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration -- are predicting a busier-than-usual hurricane season this year.
They predicted the same thing around this time last year, then altered their forecast dramatically about two-thirds of the way into the hurricane season because they realized how wrong they'd been. (You'll recall that no hurricanes hit the United States in 2006.)
Forecasters often have trouble predicting what the weather will be two or three days from now. We're supposed to believe, on May 22, that they know what will happen in August or September?



Blogger David in DC said...

It drives me mad when the weather forecasters tell me there's a 50% chance of rain.

For that, I could flip a coin.

May 22, 2007 at 3:06 PM 

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